Life is a Carnival
August 26th 2010
No I’m not going to get all philosophical on you but I was thinking about the changes in the Real Estate and Lending marketplace while I was listening to that great, old song by The Band, “Life is a carnival, believe it or not, Life is a carnival, two bits a shot”. Now I tend to believe that life is a little more structured then that. I don’t think that it is just a random set of events with no order and no control but sometimes when you look at the events of the past few years in the Real Estate game, It makes you wonder. (Disclaimer: Ultimately, I believe that God is in control but this is more about how we perceive day to day events in our lives).
The bottom line is that the market is still taking a hit with foreclosures, short sales, and much tighter underwriting guidelines. So if you bought a house a few years ago, that property value is probably down. If you want to buy a home now, there is a “chance” that you will not qualify for a loan even though two years ago you probably would have been fine, and that says nothing about trying to qualify if you are self employed…talk about brain damage. In that sense, life is a gamble. There may be a very few experts that have the knowledge to see the long term changes in a market before it happens, but most of us are either beneficiaries or victims of those changes.
So where does that leave us. Well right now it is tougher to qualify for a loan and buy a home, but it is an excellent time to buy. Prices in Denver are beginning to settle down and even go up in places. Interest Rates on loans are lower then they have been in probably 50 years. In a 5 year period you can save as much as $8,000 (Does that figure look familiar? Tax Credit maybe?) in the savings that you will get with the rates in the low 4% range. There are still safe Down Payment assistance programs available.
So is life a Carnival? Well, it can be. Is it random? Not really, but there are random parts to it. I still believe that you can’t control what life throws at you but you can control how you react to it. Carnivals are supposed to be fun and even though you take a risk (”Two Bits A Shot”), if you’re smart you can win. If you lose, try to keep it to a minimum. You take a chance when you buy a home, but over time, your risk is minimized. There are very few homes that go down in value and stay there forever.
If you want to see what you qualify for, contact me. By the way, if a lender tries to charge you an up front fee, like an application fee, walk away. That should not cost you a dime.