Low rates….but low inventory as well
January 26th 2012
It’s no surprise that we are enjoying historically low interest rates. However, at least here in the Denver area, we are also dealing with very low inventory levels as well. If you follow www.insiderealestatenews.com you may have read a recent article from John Rebchook where he talks about the decrease in the number of released deeds in 2011. A recent report released by the Colorado Division of Housing shows a decrease from 251,861 in 2010 to 235,749 in 2011. In short, release activity falls as home purchases and refinances drop.
So why have low interest rates not correlated into an increase in recent market activity? “Ten years ago, even a small decline in the mortgage rate would have produced quite a bit of new refinance and sales activity. But since 2008, tighter lending standards and a drop in the number of eligible buyers has prevented a sizable surge in new activity in spite of record-low rates,” said Ryan McMaken, spokesperson for the Colorado Division of Housing.
As we look forward to inventories rising in the spring there may be some good opportunities right now. With the imbalance of low inventory and the number of buyers right now there is great potential for new listings. I’ve heard realtors saying that they’ve shown their clients everything that’s currently on the market and their waiting for new listings to become available. I’ve also seen numerous instances lately where a listing receives 3-4 strong offers as soon as it hits the market. This could be a great opportunity to help homeowners that are currently upside-down to list their properties. With limited competition, there’s potential to receive offers that could help them get out from under their current property and shop for something else.
The other positive spin is that there was an increase in released deeds of 15.5% from the 3rd to 4th quarters of 2011. “Real estate activity perked up a bit during the fourth quarter, which would reflect some very recent growth in employment and some mild increases in home prices,” McMaken said. With many qualified borrowers waiting for more listings to hit the market hopefully this trend can carry into 2012.
Let Mark or me know if you have any questions or if we can help with your mortgage needs. Thank you, Joel Houwer.
We also have to tell you that here in Colorado we are regulated by the division of real estate and now you know.










